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  1. Jon

    Debate - There's no such thing as Racism

    Doc, it appears that one of your variables is variable.
  2. Jon

    Should voting be weighted by testing knowledge beforehand?

    Person A knows nothing about what is going on in their country. Person B has plenty of understanding. Should each have an equal influence regarding the weight of their vote, or should the more knowledgeable have a greater say?
  3. Jon

    Are computers alive?

    If something thinks, does that make it (them?) alive? I mean my pocket calculator may be limited in its thinking, but it works out that 2 + 2 = 4, using electricity just like my synapses. And on a bad day, I might make that 3! For that matter, does that also mean that an abacus is also alive...
  4. Jon

    The wisdom of crowds - true or false?

    There is a book called "The Wisdom of Crowds." I was tempted to get it, but my learning list reaches for the sky so I have no chance of getting to it. Are crowds wise or full of folly? I mean you could get some AI that is an outlier with superior perception that can out-think anybody. But the...
  5. Jon

    Debate - There's no such thing as Racism

    I kinda agree with the Doc here. I always look at this through an evolutionary lens. Racism is essentially a distrust of those who look significantly different to us. But then there is a sliding scale. If people look just slightly different, there is only slight distrust. So, there is difference...
  6. Jon

    The Monty Hall problem - my head hurts!

    I found that by physically doing it with 10 cards, pruning down to just the 2 cards, it becomes obvious why the probabilities are far better to switch. It becomes very fuzzy if dealing with just 3 cards. But the physical act brings clarity. I recommend you try it, should you feel that way...
  7. Jon

    My life is full of mistakes

    I have made countless, endless mistakes in my life. They compound up and reduce the quality of my existence. An example would be having a poor diet for as long as I can remember. Bad work decisions, not changing direction fast enough, not realising things have moved on and risk has changed since...
  8. Jon

    The Monty Hall problem - my head hurts!

    Actually, it doesn't matter or not if you are required to play the same door each time, and empirical reality supports my viewpoint. I did that to try to simplify the example. But obviously you can see from this example that if that is the strategy you chose, then it would not be 50:50, correct...
  9. Jon

    The Monty Hall problem - my head hurts!

    Doc, you haven't stated whether you agree Yes to my first 4 points?? I have thought up another way of explaining this! I am the host of the show. There are 10 doors. Since you believe there is always a 50:50 chance of getting the car when two doors are left, you see no reason to choose any...
  10. Jon

    The Monty Hall problem - my head hurts!

    Let me try a socratic approach to see if we can agree on some granular stuff. 1. If you have one million doors, would you agree that the probability of the car being behind one of the non-selected 999,999 doors would be 999,999/1,000,000? 2. Can we call this 999,999/1,000,000. "almost...
  11. Jon

    The Monty Hall problem - my head hurts!

    The fact that the simulations prove the odds of getting the car go to 2/3rds on switching (in the 3 door example) suggest that our own perspective is flawed. Reality is the ultimate arbitrator of truth. I'm getting this Monty problem thing now, having discussed it. Yes, when the amount of...
  12. Jon

    George Orwell's 1984 - are we there already?

    You cannot eliminate hatred/fear/resentment from society. Many people resent having their free speech curtailed. So if your argument is that a) it is wrong to whip up resentment, and b) you need (ever increasing) hate speech laws to do this, you are essentially saying you favour one group over...
  13. Jon

    George Orwell's 1984 - are we there already?

    I think bringing up hate speech is a very good example of the point I am making. Let's look at the "thought police" and "hate speech." Before, you could say whatever you wanted, or at least a lot more than could be said today. As time goes on, more things are added to, for example, what is...
  14. Jon

    The Monty Hall problem - my head hurts!

    Yes, I am with you on that one Doc. My rationale is slightly different. If you are presented with the choice of two options and you don't know which door has the car, you have a 50:50 chance of getting it right. So when they narrow your choice down to two options and ask if you wish to switch...
  15. Jon

    The Six Pack Challenge - accountability thread

    Interesting side-note: I have flat feet. But when I was walking in the gym changing rooms, I noticed my wet foot tread pattern was no longer showing the arch of the foot. So, it looks like losing this weight has also helped cure my flat feet! I tried on an old pair of smart shoes and it actually...
  16. Jon

    The Monty Hall problem - my head hurts!

    Yes, the host knows which door has the goat. But when you are left with two choices, intuitively, it looks like 50:50 chance, But it is 1/3 chance of win if you stay put and 2/3 chance of win if you elect to switch. But then, if you get a new person in and they can choose a door, surely that is...
  17. Jon

    The Monty Hall problem - my head hurts!

    OMG, I can't get my head around this one! Source: Wikipedia What would you do and why? Don't look up the solution first if you haven't yet seen this before.
  18. Jon

    Just cut my nose off!

    Uncle, could you surgically replace your nose by a flick of a switch later on? Or are those videos kaput?
  19. Jon

    George Orwell's 1984 - are we there already?

    Social pressure from activists on the left now attempt to coerce us to say a man can be a woman and a woman can be a man. My understanding is that in America, you can legally change your gender. Is this a case of 1984 having crept up upon us? Almost like a cloak of ideology drifting in like a...
  20. Jon

    The Six Pack Challenge - accountability thread

    I am now down to 12st 9.7lbs. My weight loss has slowed a bit in the last 3 weeks. Part of the reason is that I have been having 3 bits of chocolate per day: twirl, and two lindor choc eggs! Been feeling hungry. To compensate, I extended my walk from 30m to 37m and doing 40 swimming lengths...
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